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23.11.2022
Gudrun Sonnenberg

Biodiversity and the climate: We need more and bolder measures

Blue moor frog (Rana arvalis) sitting in water and between branches.
Blue moor frog (Rana arvalis) sitting in water and between branches.
The moor frog (Rana arvalis) depends on moist biotopes.
©
André Künzelmann/UFZ

From December 7-19, 2022, 196 nations will meet in Montreal to determine a new global biodiversity framework. At issue are wildlife conservation efforts, more areas for nature conservation and spending in the billions. Climate action also hangs on the balance of this agreement. What is needed now is political courage and commitment to binding measures.

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The situation is dire

“The COP 15 draft calling for 30 percent of protected areas in the oceans is not only of major significance for biodiversity, but also for protecting our climate,” says Ute Jacob Liaison for Science and Conservation at the Helmholtz Institute for Functional Marine Biodiversity at the University of Oldenburg (HIFMB). She is co-author of the Global Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. The report paints out a dire picture: Among other things, it estimates the number of species facing the threat of extinction at around eight million. As much as 75 percent of the land surface and 66 percent of the marine areas have sustained change caused by human activity; over 85 percent of the planet's wetlands have been lost over the past 300 years. Compared to the pre-industrial age, the forested areas throughout the world have been diminished by one third.

Everything hinges on financial equalization

However, these are developments inequitably distributed. Most of these still intact areas are located in the less industrialized countries of what is called the Global South, whereas one can hardly find any untouched nature in rich countries like Germany. While the EU countries are expressing their strong commitment for Montreal, among other goals, to preserving the protected areas on land and sea, those poorer countries where most of these areas are located are demanding economic equalization to achieve this preservation.

This issue of financing may prove to be at the crux of CBD-COP 15’s success. In September 2022, the German Federal Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) tried to send a positive signal by announcing that Germany would make 1.5 billion euros available annually up to 2025. However, this amount is still just a drop in the bucket. Indeed, the draft agreement states that 700 billion dollars are needed annually to achieve the 21 targets, and envisions the following: raising this gigantic sum through equalization payments and by cutting back on environmentally harmful subsidies to the tune of around 500 billion dollars.

Previous targets not yet met either

Will the parties manage to adopt and successfully implement the agreement? Experience with its predecessor leaves room for doubt. As early as 2010, the CBD countries met in the Japanese city of Nagoya and agreed on 20 targets – called the Aichi targets – by setting out strategic goals for saving biodiversity. Not a single one has been achieved so far. That is why the draft of the new agreement contains clauses for their implementation. The countries should draw up national implementation plans and discuss them at the next conference, COP 16. The big question is whether this procedure will be even adopted – and what effect it can actually have.

Observers are looking at this conference with concern. “It appears like things will end up like the last time – that the target catalog will only be accepted as an annex to a decision. Meaning that it is entirely without any legally binding effect or consequences that would be imminent if this fails,” says Yves Zinngrebe, research fellow at the Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), advisor to the German government and member of the Biodiversity Network Forum in Germany (NeFo), which is monitoring the COP 15 process. “What is missing is for the issue to start picking up political momentum,” says Zinngrebe, hoping: “That someone out there will show leadership, table concrete measures for implementing the targets and tie them to potential consequences – e.g., in sectors like trade or cooperation projects.”